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CHINA: Research,
Planning and Developing a Strategy for Economic Entry
Vol 2 Issue 4- Sept 2006
By Robin Lin
One point three billion. The number is staggering. The opening of the Chinese
economy offers international businesses access to a market of over 1.3 billion
people. Never before has an untapped market of this size and magnitude suddenly
materialized on the international economic scene,
With an economy
growing at nine percent a year (2004), China is poised to become one of
the most significant markets for business and trade. And companies are clammering
over the Great Wall to get a piece of this lucrative market.
Analyst forecasts
of a huge middle class with enormous spending power are already emerging.
This, combined with direct spending on or by urban teens in China totaling
290 billion renminbi (about $36 billion) a year, makes the consumer market
a very appealing lure for companies around the globe.
And Chinese consumers are hungry for a taste of Western culture. The 'American
lifestyle', along with innovative products, dominant brands and profitable
business models, has firmly seeped into the consciousness of China.
"China's burgeoning consumer market is providing a second wind for
a lot of North American products," said Mei Xinyu, a researcher with
the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Co-operation.
The strengthening of the business sector is also paying dividends for multinational
companies entering the Chinese market. One example is Boeing. In a global
airplane market where sales have otherwise taken a nose dive, China ordered
120 planes from the company last year. And the Chinese delegation to the
United States, led by Vice-Premier Wu Yi, signed an agreement to buy 80
Boeing 737 planes in April of this year.
Further, a recent survey by the American Chamber of Commerce in Beijing
found that 42 percent of US companies operating in China report that their
Chinese profit margins exceeded their worldwide average margin.
And while past concerns focused around the stability of the nation's banking
system and its adherence to trade commitments, these and other issues for
companies looking at entering the Chinese market have been greatly reduced
through a joint and concerted effort of the national government and the
business sector.
In 2004, management consulting firm McKinsey reported that the Chinese
banks were on a strong upward trajectory. With the assistance of a favorable
government-regulated interest-rate spread between deposits and loans. Chinese
financial institutions have been provided with one of the largest margins
in the banking world, and they have used it to write off bad debt.
In the last two years, state and private banks have received injections
of capital and capabilities from the government and private investors. These
infusions have done a great deal to minimize the threat of a banking crisis
or collapse. Chinese financial institutions have also made great strides
in preparing for the shift in profit sources--from deposit taking and commercial
lending to retail credit and SME lending.
Some banks are also improving their capabilities
rapidly and benefiting from foreign capital. Citibank and HSBC, for example,
are investing billions of dollars in Chinese financial institutions.
But
Bernhard Hartmann, vice- president of the management consulting firm A.T.
Kearney cautioned that establishing a foothold in China requires that companies
provide something beyond just goods and services. They also need to build
a positive image.
One way they're doing this is through demonstrating a level of corporate
social responsibility. For example, Starbucks donated 40 million yuan (US$5
million) during 2003-2005, Motorola gave 25 million yuan (US$3.1 million)
and Pfizer 18.5 million yuan (US$2.3 million).
Cultural
factors also play a role in the economic process. One such important element
is the practice of guanxi, which describes the basic dynamic in personalised
networks of influence. Guanxi is a central concept in Chinese society and
describes, in part, a personal connection between two people in which an
individual is able to prevail upon another to perform a favor or service,
or be prevailed upon. It could also be a network of contacts, which an individual
can call upon when something needs to be done, and through which they can
exert influence on behalf of another.
While guanxi is seen less in the new
China, the practice has not disappeared. It remains a factor of doing business
in the Asian powerhouse, and companies entering the Chinese market need
to be aware of the practice and how they may be affected. Analysts advise
that dealing with guanxi now requires a more systematic approach. Nurturing
the right ministerial relationships no longer confers the same advantage.
As the Chinese economy and regulatory infrastructure mature, fewer decisions
affecting businesses are being made for the first time, and precedents can
be difficult to break no matter whose ear a senior executive can bend. Moreover,
players on both sides of the table are much more professional than they
were a decade ago.
Similar to the home front, the task of attracting and
retaining employees is having a major impact both on Chinese companies and
multinationals entering the market, and the battle for talent continues
to heat up. It is estimated that domestic firms will require 75,000 leaders
who could work effectively in global environments within 10 to 15 years,
compared with the 3,000 to 5,000 on hand today.
This is putting upward pressure
on wages and making it difficult for companies to retain managers. Research
also shows that 30 to 40 percent of senior managers at multinationals switch
jobs every year, and their average salary increased by 14 percent annually
from 2000 to 2004. Chinese companies are also struggling to acquire top
talent, which further exacerbates the challenge for multinationals.
So, is the timing right to enter China? What companies need to recognize
is that there's no universal right answer to this question. Each company
must eval- uate the venture for itself. And by being fully aware of the
climate--political, economic and social--and bringing all the potential
dangers to light, you can make an informed decision for your organization
based on the weighing of the vast opportunities against the potential threats.
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